Colbert Bump - Firefox 3 Proves its Existence

Many of us at Mozilla and within the Mozilla community were excited when Stephen Colbert gave Firefox 3 his “Colbert Bump” on the day of Firefox 3’s launch (a big thanks to Jonathan Zittrain).  You can watch the video here.

Download Day was a wild success, and we were happy to share some thanks and credit with Stephen.  However, a few questions naturally arose, e.g., what was the direct impact of the Colbert Bump? and could the effect be precisely measured?

Here’s what we did:  we looked at downloads of Firefox 3 by users within the U.S. – and then we drilled down to a minute-by-minute view to see what, if anything, could be detected.  At minute 23 of the broadcast, Colbert said, “Firefox 3 just got the Colbert Bump.”  What happened next?

We saw a big spike in downloads exactly one and two minutes later:

Apparently we’re not the first to find scientific evidence proving the Bump’s effect.  If you’re interested in that previous study by James Fowler of the University of California at San Diego, you can read the complete version here.

Comments (37)

  1. Havvy wrote:

    Awesomeness!

    Tuesday, July 8, 2008 at 9:45 am #
  2. BryanG. wrote:

    Awesome. Colbert rocks

    Tuesday, July 8, 2008 at 9:54 am #
  3. Sebhelyesfarku wrote:

    It just shows how brainwashed are the Americans. “As seen on TV” LOL

    Tuesday, July 8, 2008 at 10:44 am #
  4. Jeni wrote:

    That’s very intresting. Now if only he could give Linux a bump, that would be swell.

    Tuesday, July 8, 2008 at 11:30 am #
  5. Awesome! This combines the worlds two greatest achievements Steven Colbert and Firefox.

    Tuesday, July 8, 2008 at 11:42 am #
  6. Chelsea wrote:

    I hope someone is forwarding that graph to someone at his show. You know he loves evidence of his power.

    Tuesday, July 8, 2008 at 12:13 pm #
  7. wow, didnt he bump wikipedia when he was editing it? lol

    Tuesday, July 8, 2008 at 12:41 pm #
  8. Aleks wrote:

    Didn’t seem to affect it too much. However, the results are noticeable.

    Tuesday, July 8, 2008 at 12:49 pm #
  9. David wrote:

    Awesome post!

    Tuesday, July 8, 2008 at 1:28 pm #
  10. Marketers are always trying to figure out how to get on Oprah. It seems the Report has real bump…

    Tuesday, July 8, 2008 at 1:34 pm #
  11. Sebhelyesfarku: How the heck do you manage to drag the Americans into a topic about internet browsers??

    Tuesday, July 8, 2008 at 1:44 pm #
  12. Faraz wrote:

    now that’s the truthiness right there.

    Tuesday, July 8, 2008 at 1:50 pm #
  13. Vadim P. wrote:

    @jeni: Hi again. Trolling with your website? This isn’t the first time you’ve promoted your informational website :)

    Tuesday, July 8, 2008 at 1:52 pm #
  14. I think this shows that people in the Colbert demo are watching TV while surfing on their laptops, which has huge implications.

    Tuesday, July 8, 2008 at 2:24 pm #
  15. Else wrote:

    Can you break it down by platform, too? Is the bump predominantly windows users, or did it dramatically change the number of linux downloads also?

    Tuesday, July 8, 2008 at 2:28 pm #
  16. Bill X. Cohen wrote:

    The truthiness of this is high because its written on the internets.

    Tuesday, July 8, 2008 at 2:48 pm #
  17. liphoto wrote:

    the Colbert show reminded me I had to download/update firefox.

    Tuesday, July 8, 2008 at 2:58 pm #
  18. TheWalruss wrote:

    The graph seems to show 500 users per minute for two minutes, plus let’s say 500 users for the reruns. That’s 1500 users. I wonder how many were already planning on downloading Firefox3, and how many were convinced by Colbert? At any rate, the fact that the bump’s so clearly visible is really cool!

    Tuesday, July 8, 2008 at 3:08 pm #
  19. focher wrote:

    My gut told me this was going to happen.

    Tuesday, July 8, 2008 at 3:10 pm #
  20. pvarga99 wrote:

    … and one more time his genius is recognised. colbert is the man, soon the legend, and the myth. the colbert bump is real.

    Tuesday, July 8, 2008 at 3:11 pm #
  21. Peter wrote:

    Then Would you say that the dip of about the same duration and magnitude came at the beginning of his show happened because people were tuning into it? Come on stop reading to much into things and start fixing firefox. FF3.0 has had over a million crashes in the last three weeks. I’ve stopped using it.

    Tuesday, July 8, 2008 at 3:17 pm #
  22. Danny wrote:

    Peter, you are an idiot. I haven’t got a single crash

    Tuesday, July 8, 2008 at 5:19 pm #
  23. Sir Jebbington wrote:

    “Didn’t seem to affect it too much.”
    Are you serious? It brought it to its highest point.

    Tuesday, July 8, 2008 at 8:21 pm #
  24. Michael Leung wrote:

    i like jon stewart better.

    Tuesday, July 8, 2008 at 8:33 pm #
  25. James wrote:

    Firefox hasn’t caused me or my wife any grief. Must be your inability to run good software. Better check out your system before throwing any stones. LOL

    Tuesday, July 8, 2008 at 9:25 pm #
  26. Hubbers wrote:

    Am impressed that this is the first scientific evidence of the effect.

    Wednesday, July 9, 2008 at 2:27 am #
  27. Steven Y. wrote:

    I wonder who was on TV during the initial big dips of the graph. That ought to make him/her famous by the same reasoning…

    Wednesday, July 9, 2008 at 9:29 am #
  28. Max wrote:

    Wow! I didn’t think this could be done!

    Wednesday, July 9, 2008 at 9:37 am #
  29. pxp wrote:

    whoa! you mean when a product is mentioned on tv more people might become aware of it?

    someone should tell this to the superbowl or something. i bet they could charge like, tens of dollars for people to talk about products during the game. seriously. 10’s of dollars.

    who knows? its so crazy it just might work!

    Wednesday, July 9, 2008 at 12:55 pm #
  30. loligoth wrote:

    > Sebhelyesfarku: How the heck do you manage to drag the Americans into a topic about internet browsers??

    Firefoxuser : because this topic “looked at downloads of Firefox 3 by users within the U.S.”, ie. Americans?

    Please go read the topic before replying.

    Wednesday, July 9, 2008 at 7:38 pm #
  31. Vylum wrote:

    WTF is Colbert? Any explanation on the lows just before? Someone said FF had a viral infection of some sort?

    Thursday, July 10, 2008 at 12:18 am #
  32. Wodin wrote:

    Vylum: It’s obvious, isn’t it? The lows were when everybody stopped downloading Firefox to watch Colbert. Then when he mentioned Firefox they remembered what they were supposed to be doing and continued downloading two copies at a time to catch up!

    BTW, I believe this is what they mean by “Colbert”:
    http://www.comedycentral.com/colbertreport/index.jhtml

    Thursday, July 10, 2008 at 12:53 pm #
  33. Firefox is already a hit in developers world.Its new version has now touched the shores of house hold people. Keep it up FF. Keep updating it. we will be supporting u all the way.

    Friday, July 11, 2008 at 8:20 pm #
  34. david yi wrote:

    that guy johnathan zittrain is a smart guy. i agree with everything he said in his interview.

    fck apple and its format/hardware/software/everything specific bullsht.

    Sunday, July 13, 2008 at 9:36 am #
  35. Silent_44/hack0r wrote:

    i like his show he is VERY funny…

    Monday, July 14, 2008 at 12:23 pm #
  36. AC wrote:

    Now if you disaggregate users in the different time zones and show that the peak appears where users are likely to have seen the footage and not where they haven’t I’ll be impressed.

    Also the circles cover about 15 mins - vertical lines at xx53 would seem more appropriate.

    Thursday, July 17, 2008 at 7:52 pm #
  37. That’s cool and shows the trust of millions of people in Mozilla. Like us :)

    Tuesday, July 29, 2008 at 2:47 am #